Süderelbe vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
7º
14º
9º
24
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 2
SUD
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
3 - 3
BUC
81%
12%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
SUD
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
DNB
84%
10%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
RUG
74%
14%
11%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 1
HAL
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 3
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 4
VHG
23%
20%
58%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
UTO
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 6
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |