Sud América vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
SUD
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SUD
0 - 0
CSM
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
SUD
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SUD
3 - 2
FEN
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
SUD
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CER
0 - 1
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CER
3 - 5
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DAN
2 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CER
3 - 1
MWA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |