SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
HUB
1 - 1
SUB
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 3
SUB
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SUB
0 - 3
SCH
15%
25%
60%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOM
9 - 0
SUB
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 2
SVV
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
SVV
1 - 0
SCH
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DOM
2 - 2
SVV
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
SVV
2 - 2
INW
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UND
0 - 3
SVV
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 2
SVV
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |