SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 0
SUB
65%
18%
16%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 0
INW
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
HOL
3 - 1
SUB
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 0
SVV
22%
22%
56%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
SUB
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
UND
0 - 1
SCH
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
DOM
1 - 1
UND
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
UND
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
UND
2 - 1
BAR
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
INW
2 - 0
UND
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |