SUBT vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUB
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
SUB
0 - 0
SCH
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SUB
2 - 2
COL
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 1
SUB
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SUB
2 - 2
DOM
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SIT
1 - 0
UND
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
DOM
4 - 2
SIT
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 1
SIT
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
SIT
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
INW
2 - 0
SIT
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |