SUBT vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
SUB
1 - 4
HOL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UND
1 - 0
SUB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SUB
0 - 2
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DOM
4 - 1
SUB
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
1 - 1
SVV
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 1
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 0
HUB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
3 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
UND
3 - 2
SIT
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |