SUBT vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
UND
1 - 1
SUB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
SUB
59%
21%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HUB
5 - 0
SUB
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 4
VIC
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
SUB
4 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
UND
2 - 1
SIT
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 1
SIT
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SIT
1 - 2
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SVV
0 - 1
SIT
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 1
SIT
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |