SUBT vs Centro Barber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
SVV
4 - 1
SUB
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 1
VIC
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
SUB
60%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
SUB
1 - 1
SIT
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
RBV
0 - 1
SUB
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Centro Barber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
HUB
1 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
DOM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |