Subiza vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
60.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SJU
2 - 2
SUB
64%
23%
13%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SUB
0 - 0
HUA
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUB
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 2
PAM
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUB
50%
25%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CAV
86%
11%
4%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
COR
0 - 4
PEÑ
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
16%
23%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
CDA
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LOU
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |