Swaziland vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ANG
3 - 0
SWZ
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
KEN
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SWZ
1 - 0
MWI
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
SWZ
5 - 6
MUS
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
KEN
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
ANG
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 79 | 52 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ANG
6 - 1
ERI
83%
12%
4%
|
26 | 79 | 53 | -1 |