Stuttgart vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 3
STU
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BVB
4 - 3
STU
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
STU
1 - 0
HSV
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
F95
2 - 0
STU
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
STU
4 - 0
FCN
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
5 - 0
LPO
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
1 - 0
BOC
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 2
MSV
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
MSV
0 - 3
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
BYM
6 - 2
MSV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |