Bundesliga Round 21

Stuttgart vs Köln analysis

Stuttgart Köln
80 ELO 82
2.4% Tilt 14.9%
25º General ELO ranking 86º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
30.6%
Stuttgart
24.3%
Draw
45.1%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
Stuttgart
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.1%
Win probability
Köln
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Stuttgart
Their league position
Köln
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
18º
16º
42
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
71
100%
B. Dortmund
71
71
100%
RB Leipzig
66
66
100%
Union Berlin
62
62
100%
SC Freiburg
59
59
100%
B. Leverkusen
50
50
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50
50
0%
Wolfsburg
49
49
100%
Mainz 05
46
46
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Köln
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Hoffenheim
12º
36
36
12º
0%
Werder Bremen
13º
36
36
13º
0%
VfL Bochum
14º
35
35
14º
100%
FC Augsburg
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Stuttgart
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Schalke 04
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Hertha BSC
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stuttgart
Köln
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stuttgart
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
SCF
SC Freiburg
2 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
58%
22%
20%
79 86 7 0
05 Feb. 2023
STU
Stuttgart
0 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
39%
24%
37%
80 80 0 -1
31 Jan. 2023
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
Stuttgart
STU
37%
23%
40%
80 75 5 0
27 Jan. 2023
RBL
RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
72%
17%
11%
80 90 10 0
24 Jan. 2023
HOF
Hoffenheim
2 - 2
Stuttgart
STU
57%
21%
22%
80 84 4 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
KOL
Köln
3 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
25%
23%
52%
82 88 6 0
04 Feb. 2023
KOL
Köln
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
RBL
16%
20%
64%
82 90 8 0
01 Feb. 2023
KOL
Köln
4 - 1
Konigsdorf
KON
93%
6%
1%
82 29 53 0
29 Jan. 2023
S04
Schalke 04
0 - 0
Köln
KOL
23%
23%
54%
82 74 8 0
24 Jan. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
87%
9%
4%
82 96 14 0