Sturm Graz II vs SV Pasching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 3
STU
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
STU
3 - 0
LBN
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
KLA
2 - 2
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
STU
1 - 3
ALL
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
GKN
4 - 1
STU
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
SV Pasching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2012 |
SVP
1 - 0
LBN
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 1
SVP
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SVP
0 - 1
STF
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
SVP
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SVP
1 - 0
SVV
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |