Sturm Graz II vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
15º
7º
38
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
BRI
39%
23%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
STU
2 - 2
ADS
27%
21%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
DON
52%
21%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
SVT
0 - 2
STU
7%
12%
80%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
STU
2 - 2
RAP
31%
22%
47%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 2
SWB
26%
22%
52%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 4
SWB
16%
20%
65%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SWB
0 - 1
ILL
46%
23%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SWB
1 - 2
ALT
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SWB
2 - 3
FCV
17%
19%
65%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |