Strogino vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
STR
1 - 0
FCD
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 1
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 2
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
STR
2 - 1
FCR
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
STR
3 - 0
SEV
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
DNE
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TOS
0 - 0
LOK
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FCR
1 - 4
TOS
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 0
TOS
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
DIN
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |