Strasbourg vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
MON
21%
21%
57%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 3
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ANG
2 - 2
STR
46%
27%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STR
3 - 0
DIJ
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 0
CAE
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DIJ
1 - 2
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIL
3 - 1
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LIL
3 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |