Third Division Round 20

Stranraer vs Peterhead analysis

Stranraer Peterhead
45 ELO 46
3.8% Tilt 6.7%
5009º General ELO ranking 3552º
60º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
31.6%
Stranraer
24.3%
Draw
44.1%
Peterhead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.1%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
-7%
-3%
Peterhead

Points and table prediction

Stranraer
Their league position
Peterhead
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
10º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stenhousemuir
68
68
100%
Peterhead
60
60
100%
Spartans
58
58
100%
Dumbarton
57
57
100%
East Fife
44
44
100%
Forfar Athletic
42
42
100%
Elgin City
40
40
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
39
100%
Clyde
38
38
100%
Stranraer
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stranraer
Peterhead
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Stranraer
Peterhead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
ELG
Elgin City
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
40%
25%
36%
43 42 1 0
23 Dec. 2023
SPA
Spartans
3 - 0
Stranraer
STR
68%
19%
14%
44 54 10 -1
16 Dec. 2023
STR
Stranraer
3 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
37%
25%
38%
41 47 6 +3
09 Dec. 2023
CLY
Clyde
2 - 2
Stranraer
STR
39%
24%
37%
41 39 2 0
02 Dec. 2023
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
62%
21%
18%
41 49 8 0

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2024
PET
Peterhead
3 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
23%
23%
54%
46 52 6 0
06 Jan. 2024
PET
Peterhead
0 - 1
Spartans
SPA
22%
25%
53%
47 55 8 -1
30 Dec. 2023
ELG
Elgin City
2 - 1
Peterhead
PET
26%
24%
50%
47 40 7 0
23 Dec. 2023
PET
Peterhead
1 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
48%
26%
26%
48 47 1 -1
16 Dec. 2023
PET
Peterhead
2 - 1
Clyde
CLY
63%
22%
16%
48 39 9 0