Second Division Round 35

Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic analysis

Stranraer Forfar Athletic
46 ELO 51
30.5% Tilt 7.7%
5065º General ELO ranking 4823º
59º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
50.6%
Stranraer
21.8%
Draw
27.6%
Forfar Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.6%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
-9%
+30%
Forfar Athletic

ELO progression

Stranraer
Forfar Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2013
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 2
Stranraer
STR
72%
17%
11%
48 57 9 0
20 Apr. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
62%
21%
18%
48 53 5 0
13 Apr. 2013
QOS
Queen of the South
2 - 0
Stranraer
STR
81%
13%
6%
48 69 21 0
09 Apr. 2013
EAS
East Fife
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
48%
23%
29%
48 47 1 0
06 Apr. 2013
STR
Stranraer
3 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
36%
24%
40%
47 58 11 +1

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2013
FOR
Forfar Athletic
0 - 4
Queen of the South
QOS
20%
23%
57%
51 68 17 0
13 Apr. 2013
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
63%
21%
17%
51 59 8 0
09 Apr. 2013
BRE
Brechin City
3 - 4
Forfar Athletic
FOR
67%
19%
14%
51 57 6 0
06 Apr. 2013
FOR
Forfar Athletic
3 - 2
East Fife
EAS
63%
19%
18%
50 47 3 +1
02 Apr. 2013
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
33%
25%
43%
50 42 8 0