Stranraer vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
STR
0 - 5
QOS
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STR
3 - 1
EAS
43%
23%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALL
4 - 1
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STE
0 - 0
STR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STR
0 - 1
AYR
53%
21%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
ARB
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STE
1 - 0
ARB
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
QOS
5 - 1
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |