Stranraer vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
STR
0 - 8
LIV
33%
22%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
STR
1 - 2
STE
49%
22%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BER
1 - 0
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STR
2 - 3
QUE
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ALL
3 - 1
STR
58%
21%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
STI
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ELG
5 - 7
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 0
DUM
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 3
ARB
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |