Stranraer vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
STR
0 - 3
BRE
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
QUE
1 - 1
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
STR
2 - 8
STI
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
RAI
2 - 1
STR
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
ALL
2 - 2
STR
67%
18%
14%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 2
EAS
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 2
STI
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 1
ARB
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |