Stourbridge vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 4
STO
27%
24%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GOS
1 - 3
STO
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
BED
0 - 3
STO
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STO
4 - 1
CAM
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
RED
0 - 4
STO
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
RED
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
STN
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
BAS
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
WEY
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |