Stormvogels vs Foresters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stormvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ZEE
3 - 1
STO
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UIT
3 - 7
STO
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
STO
2 - 1
PAN
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
STO
3 - 1
AFC
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DEK
1 - 7
STO
42%
22%
37%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Foresters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
AFC
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
DEK
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEM
3 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
5 - 0
SDO
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DEM
5 - 2
FOR
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |