Stoke City vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STO
1 - 2
TOT
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 1
STO
41%
28%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
BRO
1 - 2
STO
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
NOT
0 - 0
STO
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
STO
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STF
1 - 1
ALD
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 1
STF
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
STF
4 - 3
CHA
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
STF
3 - 1
BRA
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
STF
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |