Stoke City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
STO
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
STO
2 - 0
BOL
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 2
STO
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NTT
3 - 2
STO
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STO
2 - 3
BBU
61%
24%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BIR
3 - 1
ROT
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
BIR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BIR
2 - 2
IPS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
1 - 2
BIR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
0 - 0
BIR
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |