Stockel vs Ternat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
STO
4 - 0
BOR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
STO
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
STO
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
STO
2 - 4
STA
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
STO
1 - 3
EPP
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ternat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DIE
7 - 0
TER
81%
14%
6%
|
24 | 66 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TER
4 - 1
HOU
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
STR
2 - 0
TER
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TER
0 - 3
RAC
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
RAC
4 - 2
TER
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |