Stjarnan vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
12º
4º
21
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
STJ
4 - 0
KEF
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STJ
4 - 0
IBV
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
STJ
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
STJ
0 - 2
BRE
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
STJ
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
FYL
3 - 4
KRR
37%
22%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FYL
3 - 1
FRA
51%
23%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
FYL
1 - 2
BRE
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FYL
1 - 6
VAL
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HKK
1 - 0
FYL
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |