Third Division Round 17

Stirling Albion vs Stranraer analysis

Stirling Albion Stranraer
50 ELO 46
-1% Tilt -4%
4784º General ELO ranking 5059º
56º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
57.8%
Stirling Albion
21.7%
Draw
20.5%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
Stirling Albion
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.5%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stirling Albion
-20%
-9%
Stranraer

Points and table prediction

Stirling Albion
Their league position
Stranraer
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
40
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Peterhead
66
66
100%
East Fife
65
65
100%
Edinburgh City
56
56
100%
Elgin City
55
55
100%
Spartans
52
52
100%
Stirling Albion
48
48
100%
Clyde
43
43
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
10º
36
42
100%
Stranraer
40
40
100%
Forfar Athletic
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stirling Albion
Stranraer
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stirling Albion
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stirling Albion
Stirling Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2024
ELG
Elgin City
2 - 4
Stirling Albion
STI
57%
22%
21%
49 52 3 0
07 Dec. 2024
STI
Stirling Albion
0 - 3
Edinburgh City
EDI
59%
21%
20%
50 44 6 -1
03 Dec. 2024
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
46%
24%
30%
50 50 0 0
30 Nov. 2024
FOR
Forfar Athletic
3 - 3
Stirling Albion
STI
31%
25%
44%
50 47 3 0
16 Nov. 2024
SPA
Spartans
3 - 0
Stirling Albion
STI
51%
25%
24%
51 55 4 -1

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2024
STR
Stranraer
0 - 0
Edinburgh City
EDI
42%
24%
34%
45 46 1 0
10 Dec. 2024
SPA
Spartans
1 - 3
Stranraer
STR
67%
20%
13%
43 56 13 +2
30 Nov. 2024
STR
Stranraer
1 - 2
Broxburn Athletic
BRX
34%
24%
42%
44 47 3 -1
16 Nov. 2024
STR
Stranraer
1 - 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
36%
25%
39%
45 49 4 -1
09 Nov. 2024
EAS
East Fife
1 - 2
Stranraer
STR
71%
18%
11%
44 55 11 +1