Stevenage vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
STE
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STE
4 - 0
TOT
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STE
2 - 1
IPS
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
COL
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
STE
14%
22%
65%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 0
QPR
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CRY
2 - 1
WAT
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
WAT
89%
8%
3%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 0
WAT
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 0
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |