Stevenage vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
DAG
2 - 2
STE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
STE
1 - 0
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
STE
2 - 1
ALD
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
TAM
2 - 0
STE
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
STE
1 - 1
WOK
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CAN
1 - 1
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
SOU
2 - 0
CAN
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CAN
0 - 2
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
ALD
2 - 2
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EBB
2 - 0
CAN
55%
22%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |