Stenhousemuir vs Bonnyrigg Rose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
6º
1º
39
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STR
0 - 3
STE
26%
24%
49%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
PET
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STE
3 - 2
SPA
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 3
STE
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 2
BRO
27%
21%
52%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
BRA
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 2
EAS
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 0
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |