Stellenbosch FC vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
11º
3º
30
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stellenbosch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
SFC
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
SFC
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
TSG
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 1
SFC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 0
PIR
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIB
1 - 3
MPU
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 1
SWA
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 1
POL
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TSG
1 - 1
RIB
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |