Stella vs Sporting Gagnoa analysis


65	ELO	63
-15%	Tilt	-17.9%
3011º	General ELO ranking	22269º
11º	Country ELO ranking	34º
ELO win probability

40.1%

Stella

28.4%

Draw

31.5%

Sporting Gagnoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%

28.5%

Draw

0-0

10.3%

1-1

13.2%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

<0%

0

28.4%

31.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

-28%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stella

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
17 Nov. 2012	DEN 0 - 0 STE 44% 29% 27%	64	64
10 Nov. 2012	ABE 0 - 0 STE 47% 29% 25%	64	64
03 Nov. 2012	AFA 0 - 0 STE 46% 29% 25%	64	64
17 Jun. 2012	SEW 0 - 2 STE 45% 28% 27%	64	64
10 Jun. 2012	STE 0 - 0 ABE 43% 29% 28%	64	64

Matches

Sporting Gagnoa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
17 Nov. 2012	SPO 1 - 0 AFA 47% 28% 25%	64	64
10 Nov. 2012	SPO 3 - 2 DEN 47% 29% 25%	64	64
04 Nov. 2012	BIN 0 - 3 SPO 41% 28% 31%	64	64
23 Nov. 2008	SPO 0 - 3 STA 46% 27% 26%	64	64
19 Nov. 2008	SPO 0 - 1 ISS 49% 27% 24%	64	64