Stella vs JCAT analysis


65	ELO	64
-10.5%	Tilt	-7.8%
2903º	General ELO ranking	19761º
10º	Country ELO ranking	24º
ELO win probability

48.4%

Stella

27.8%

Draw

23.8%

JCAT

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

48.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%

27.8%

Draw

0-0

10.9%

1-1

12.7%

2-2

3.7%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

27.8%

23.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stella

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Jun. 2011	STE 2 - 1 ABE 43% 28% 29%	64	64	0	0
11 Jun. 2011	AFA 1 - 1 STE 45% 28% 27%	64	64	0	0
05 Jun. 2011	STE 2 - 2 OUR 45% 29% 26%	64	64	0	0
30 May. 2011	DEN 0 - 0 STE 45% 27% 28%	64	64	0	0
17 Oct. 2010	STE 2 - 0 SAB 43% 28% 30%	63	64	1	+1

Matches

JCAT

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
25 Jun. 2011	JCA 0 - 2 AFR 46% 29% 25%	64	64
20 Jun. 2011	JCA 0 - 0 OUR 43% 29% 28%	64	64
11 Jun. 2011	DEN 0 - 0 JCA 47% 28% 25%	64	64
05 Jun. 2011	JCA 0 - 1 ABE 41% 28% 30%	64	64
30 May. 2011	AFA 0 - 0 JCA 48% 28% 24%	64	64