Stella vs Denguelé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
STE
0 - 3
ASE
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AFR
0 - 1
STE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
STE
0 - 1
SEW
46%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 2
STE
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STE
2 - 1
ISS
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Denguelé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 1
OUR
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ASE
1 - 0
DEN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 0
SOA
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AFR
5 - 1
DEN
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 0
BIN
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |