Stella vs AFAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
OUR
1 - 1
STE
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
STE
2 - 0
DEN
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
AFR
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
JCA
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
ABE
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
JCA
1 - 2
AFA
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
OUR
1 - 3
AFA
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 1
AFA
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
AFA
1 - 1
ABE
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
AFR
0 - 2
AFA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |