Steinfort vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Steinfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
STE
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
STE
0 - 2
AVE
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
4 - 3
STE
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
STE
1 - 1
KEH
56%
24%
21%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOE
2 - 3
STE
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
FFN
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
LOR
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -3 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
LOR
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
JEU
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |