FCSB vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
0 - 0
STB
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
LYO
1 - 1
STB
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
STB
3 - 1
TIM
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
STB
3 - 0
JIU
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
STB
1 - 1
DYN
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
BET
0 - 0
SEV
28%
28%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SEV
0 - 0
RSO
69%
20%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
SEV
0 - 0
BET
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LEV
2 - 4
SEV
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 0
SEV
33%
28%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |