FCSB vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
STB
4 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
PTI
0 - 3
STB
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AST
2 - 0
STB
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
VKP
2 - 0
STB
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
CSM
1 - 0
STB
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GCZ
0 - 1
LUG
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
GCZ
36%
24%
41%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
YOB
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
HBS
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STG
0 - 2
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |