Staphorst vs ASWH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Staphorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DOV
3 - 2
STA
32%
23%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
STA
2 - 3
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 1
STA
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STA
3 - 1
GOE
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ODI
1 - 3
STA
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
3 - 2
ASW
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ASW
2 - 0
DET
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
0 - 1
ASW
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ASW
3 - 1
NOO
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +4 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
KOZ
3 - 2
ASW
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |