Stanford vs San Diego State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stanford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
OSB
44%
22%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
WAH
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
STA
5 - 0
CGB
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
1 - 0
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 0
STA
13%
17%
70%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UCB
1 - 0
SDS
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 0
SDS
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
WAH
1 - 0
SDS
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
1 - 0
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
CGB
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |