SL16 FC vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
6º
5º
23
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 0
STL
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STL
0 - 0
KRC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
STL
1 - 2
DEI
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEI
5 - 0
STL
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DEI
3 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOM
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 2
EXC
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |