Stal Alchevsk vs MFK Mykolaiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Alchevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ZIR
1 - 0
STA
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
STA
1 - 3
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
DES
0 - 2
STA
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STA
3 - 0
BUK
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
NYV
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
MFK Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MFK
2 - 1
ZIR
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MFK
1 - 1
SUM
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
MFK
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MFK
1 - 2
POL
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCU
2 - 0
MFK
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |