Stal Alchevsk vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Alchevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BUK
2 - 0
STA
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
NYV
2 - 0
STA
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STA
5 - 0
SUM
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
STA
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
STA
2 - 1
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DES
4 - 0
SUM
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
DES
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
POL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
DES
0 - 2
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 0
DES
37%
29%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |