Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
8º
7º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
STA
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 3
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
BAD
62%
20%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
STA
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
THU
36%
25%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
FCA
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |