Confederation Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Stade Malien vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CSS
0 - 0
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
KGI
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ETO
0 - 1
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STA
0 - 0
ETO
33%
26%
40%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STA
2 - 1
SKE
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FUR
2 - 0
TPM
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TPM
4 - 2
SET
53%
22%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TPM
1 - 0
CAB
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
CAB
1 - 0
TPM
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TPM
3 - 0
FUR
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |