Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
4º
10º
4º
54
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 2
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
4 - 0
VEV
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
STA
3 - 2
BUL
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
THU
29%
24%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
STA
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 1
WIL
44%
24%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
4 - 0
VEV
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
SCO
3 - 2
ETO
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
UES
1 - 0
ETO
26%
23%
50%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 2
ETO
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |