Norwegian Fourth Division Round 9

Stabæk II vs Lillestrom II analysis

Stabæk II Lillestrom II
37 ELO 36
-0.3% Tilt -2.7%
8015º General ELO ranking 8109º
120º Country ELO ranking 127º
ELO win probability
57.2%
Stabæk II
19.3%
Draw
23.5%
Lillestrom II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
Stabæk II
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.5%
Win probability
Lillestrom II
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stabæk II
-26%
-11%
Lillestrom II

Points and table prediction

Stabæk II
Their league position
Lillestrom II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
11º
29
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lysekloster
70
70
100%
Frigg
56
56
100%
Fana
51
51
100%
Os Turn
48
48
100%
Sandviken
44
44
100%
Gjelleråsen
42
42
100%
Skjetten
38
38
100%
Stabæk II
34
34
100%
Lillestrom II
29
29
100%
Lokomotiv Oslo
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Skedsmo
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Gneist
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Ullern II
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Grorud II
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stabæk II
Lillestrom II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stabæk II
Lillestrom II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stabæk II
Stabæk II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jun. 2023
SKE
Skedsmo
0 - 0
Stabæk II
STA
19%
19%
62%
39 25 14 0
30 May. 2023
STA
Stabæk II
3 - 1
Grorud II
GRO
74%
15%
11%
39 28 11 0
13 May. 2023
OTF
Os Turn
4 - 1
Stabæk II
STA
55%
21%
25%
41 38 3 -2
08 May. 2023
FAN
Fana
1 - 1
Stabæk II
STA
62%
20%
18%
41 46 5 0
01 May. 2023
STA
Stabæk II
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Oslo
LOK
75%
15%
11%
41 32 9 0

Matches

Lillestrom II
Lillestrom II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jun. 2023
LIL
Lillestrom II
3 - 1
Gneist
ILG
92%
5%
2%
34 17 17 0
28 May. 2023
ULL
Ullern II
6 - 2
Lillestrom II
LIL
7%
12%
82%
37 18 19 -3
13 May. 2023
LIL
Lillestrom II
3 - 3
Fana
FAN
25%
21%
54%
37 45 8 0
06 May. 2023
LYS
Lysekloster
6 - 1
Lillestrom II
LIL
70%
18%
13%
38 47 9 -1
02 May. 2023
LIL
Lillestrom II
1 - 0
Gjelleråsen
GIF
45%
21%
34%
37 40 3 +1