UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 5-1
Stabæk vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
TIR
1 - 1
STB
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
STB
2 - 0
VKG
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
STB
4 - 0
LSK
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LYN
2 - 2
STB
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
STB
2 - 1
BBS
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
TIR
1 - 1
STB
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TIR
2 - 1
VLZ
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 3
TIR
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TIR
3 - 1
SHK
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
TIR
1 - 2
FLA
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |