Stabæk vs Aalesunds FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
14º
32
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 55 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 50 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 40 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 40 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 38 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 35 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 34 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 33 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
70% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 18 |
16º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 20% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 71% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
STB
3 - 3
MOS
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
ODD
2 - 0
STB
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 1
STB
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 2
RAN
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
STB
2 - 2
KRI
31%
23%
45%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
ELP
3 - 1
KON
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
LYN
2 - 2
ELP
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ELP
2 - 0
MOS
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
EGE
2 - 2
ELP
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SKE
1 - 1
ELP
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |